Sunday's Hangover Picks

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Couldn't make my Saturday night deadline, notes and picks at bottom.

Miami -3 @ San Diego

Miami is allowing 12.8 ppg
San Diego is allowing 28.2 ppg

Miami is allowing 68 rush ypg
San Diego is allowing 137.3 rush ypg

Miami is allowing 249.8 ypg
San Diego is allowing 226.3 ypg

NUMBERS: 15-1 — Miami's record against AFC West opponents in their past 16 matchups.

Ricky Williams
Brian Griese
Junior Seau

LaDanian Tomlinson
Drew Brees
David Boston

Miami is not getting a lot of respect. No one really likes Miami, they are not a very likable team. Fiedler to McMichael, handoff to Ricky, stop the run. All very boring stuff. Miami was predicted to go far, San Diego predicted for the basement, more or less. This is a good chance for Miami to get a lot of monkeys off their back.

I have to go against the injuries to the Tampa Bay defense and their lack of dominant play. They’ve trended towards the bounce-back but have also lost their first two home games. A la, Lambeau field and Super Bowl curse, I have to take the points with a motivated dog.

Vibe play. Carolina won the first game 19-13 but the tables have turned. New Orleans did as expected last week against the worst of the NFL. A little health, momentum, and home field advantage should be enough to cover this low line.

Arizona has only covered +6.5 once this season. Every week should be considered a week to play against Arizona. Have to try one more time as San Francisco’s offense and defense should be balanced enough to get up by. Just hope that Tampa Bay hangover (literally) has passed.

A win is more important than scoring points in this matchup. Looking for both teams to call a very conservative game, almost glacial. The defenses are not top notch, so it could be a sloppy over, but that’s why they play the games.

Dallas +6
Miami -3
New Orleans -2
San Francisco -6.5
Chicago/Detroit UNDER 37

Good luck!
 

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